Build regularly-updating reports displaying weekly forecasts and/or analysis

[dshemetov]

Goal: a system that can produce decent default forecasts and then use those forecasts to build reports.

Notes from 2024-09-01:

• MVP: make our current production pipeline publicly useable
  • Choose which (best) forecaster to feature
• Bonus after MVP
  • make notebooks pretty/more interactive
  • rewrite with epipredict
  • rewrite with targets
• Is the generation of forecasts a part of this task? Dan points out the language doesn’t reflect that exactly. Logan thinks otherwise.
• Side-note: our partners (CDPH) currently want a good forecaster. This task could provide that to them.
• Modular components (can tackle these one by one):
• Forecast generator using forecast that we think will do fairly well on other people’s data
• Produce report from generated forecasts (in standard format, esp Hubverse format)
• Compatibility with STLT computation style/resources – has to be something that they can run (access to packages, easy to set up, runnable in GH actions?, upload to a website?, etc)
• Outsource the forecast visualization to Reich lab’s new Zoltar data viewer?
• Hubvis? Not sure if in usable state right now

[brookslogan]

Side-note: our partners (CDPH) currently want a good forecaster. This task could provide that to them.

We might be able to provide them inspiration, but they want to use data we don't have access to. So we can't completely satisfy that here.

[dshemetov]

The updated version of this issue:

• build a production forecasting repo that demonstrates a fully working pipeline
• preferrably as hands off as possible, using a very simple forecaster
• could be a good demo of epidatr, epiprocess, and epipredict working together

Now that we're post InsightNet meeting, seems a bit low priority.